Surprised-Shackle
0x3b09ffa0fc782de32a91ba554dee543db36df460
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.66
Total PnL
$-13.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.88
$4.88
- YES
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$2.27
$1.27
- NO
US recession in 2025?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Yoon arrested before July?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
9 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested before July?$1.00Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested before July?$1.00Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?$1.00Jun 28, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase US perps offer more than 10x leverage?$1.00Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?$1.00Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? $1.00Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? $1.00Jun 28, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMNew Orleans escape mastermind last man standing?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 155–169 times May 30–June 6?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jun 28, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?$1.00Jun 28, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$2.00Jun 28, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$5.00Jun 28, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$2.00Jun 28, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$0.04Jun 28, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$1.00Jun 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00Jun 6, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".