Square-Ceremony
0x3b15c4acb815bdbfd61fec17f20be638ba29193d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.21
Total PnL
$-940.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.21
$-1.79
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
1035 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-131.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
593 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
458 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
407 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
375 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
370 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-130.50
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
285 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
241 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$15.24Feb 12, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.19Feb 12, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$70.00Feb 11, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$150.00Feb 9, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$30.00Feb 8, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$25.00Feb 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.00Feb 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$30.00Feb 8, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$3.00Feb 7, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$8.00Feb 7, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$20.00Feb 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$20.00Feb 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$50.00Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.