Tremendous-Vise
0x3b17c52af5eff59fd4e1d3b4f9520d18f2ea00a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$30.00
Total PnL
$7.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$13.65
- YES
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$2.75
- YES
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ireland win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 04:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.