Plaintive-Caftan
0x3b1a2498d0f5753968594bba35a0f1049c837c38
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$20.13
Total PnL
$-70.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
17 shares @ 66.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.26
$-2.64
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.70
$-3.10
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.17
$2.17
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
32 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 26, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 25, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$7.02Jan 24, 07:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 24, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 23, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 20, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 18, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $11.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.