Mellow-Conversation
0x3b1a8b39f8d3a4ce3fe7c1e752cf14c386834221
Quality score
95/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$671.80
Win rate
100%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
150 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$150.00
$11.58
- YES
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
150 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$150.00
$16.13
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
150 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.00
$8.70
- NO
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
150 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$150.00
$10.87
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 93.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$148.28
$8.22
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
150 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$146.40
$-0.60
- NO
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
150 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$145.65
$-0.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
150 shares @ 96.2¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$133.95
$-10.35
- NO
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
150 shares @ 88.6¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.58
$-23.27
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 80.3¢·now 72.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.22
$-12.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$14.802d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.144d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$0.014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?$34.239d ago
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$19.5810d ago
- TRADESELLWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$4.3011d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?$2.4911d ago
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.0212d ago
- TRADESELLWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$2.7612d ago
- TRADESELLWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$2.1412d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$8.5113d ago
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.1514d ago
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?$3.7914d ago
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?$3.8014d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?$0.4914d ago
- TRADESELLWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$0.1114d ago
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.2315d ago
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.2315d ago
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$1.5715d ago
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$0.8615d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.