Physical-Alluvium
0x3b1e9f909c1877aeb7ee939201719c390796cd22
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$400.00
Total PnL
$-546.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
400 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$400.00
$0.80
- YES
Will Apple dip to $224 in November?
904 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112,000 on November 18?
660 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
540 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-524.34
- YES
Will Matthieu Pavon win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
530 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
366 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
305 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Solana reach $230 October 27-November 2?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$399.20Mar 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pavon win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$4.77Mar 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$56.98Mar 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$138.06Mar 24, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$440.05Mar 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$434.72Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$229.34Dec 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple dip to $224 in November?$7.00Nov 26, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112,000 on November 18?$2.64Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2.56Nov 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $230 October 27-November 2?$2.60Oct 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$130.00Oct 29, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 11?$370.05Oct 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$129.35Oct 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$109.45Oct 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$109.89Oct 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.80 in September?$1.60Sep 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 11?$368.15Aug 10, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$524.34Aug 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.80Jul 23, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $487.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".