Murky-Cart
0x3b2456135a69894070b552be8eb839aab1033df1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 1?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 1?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?
269 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 5?
265 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 11?
264 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?
262 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 8?
258 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 17?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?
241 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$3.86Jul 1, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$144.65May 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$138.43May 29, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$1.46May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$4.13May 24, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$33.05May 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$38.63May 16, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 6 2026?$104.89May 10, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 7, 9PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET$0.00Apr 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$30.58Apr 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 6 2026?$0.09Apr 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 6 2026?$102.18Apr 10, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,050 on March 28?$134.71Apr 10, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 11?$0.00Apr 1, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$36.66Mar 31, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 11?$0.00Mar 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,050 on March 28?$132.42Mar 29, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$137.99Mar 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.21Mar 28, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $33.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.