Lean-Dawn
0x3b26654017a93ab0653b2f2d6a2c265b8370980f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.75
Total PnL
$-47.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- 9INE
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?
1050 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$15.81Apr 24, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$15.81Apr 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$8.80Apr 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$6.00Apr 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$1.00Jan 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.40 in January?$1.00Jan 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$1.04Jan 22, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.60 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$1.00Jan 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 16, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 16, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 16, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".