Official-Phenomenon
0x3b2c1c53ae65de12cc93d23e8f0884658d07d74c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$67.04
Total PnL
$-103.64
Realised
$14.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$35.27
$17.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 39.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.60
$7.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 34.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.08
$2.98
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.09
$-17.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
5795 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.34
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?
189 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
31 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$14.29Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$18.57Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.30Jun 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$9.10Jun 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$18.22Jun 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$7.15Jun 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$9.18Jun 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$13.12Jun 10, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.15Jun 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.84Jun 10, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.05Jun 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.01Jun 9, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.18Jun 9, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.84Jun 9, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.47Jun 9, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.47Jun 9, 05:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00Jun 8, 13:43 UTC
- SPLITWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$25.36Jun 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.23Jun 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$18.18Jun 8, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.