Deafening-Engagement
0x3b339cf14853ddb3f665a63df2549a8380729773
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.92
Total PnL
$-3.41
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.32
$0.00
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?
2921 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$316.37Nov 14, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$320.00Nov 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?$321.68Nov 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?$322.00Nov 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$0.57Nov 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?$0.72Nov 13, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$1.01Nov 13, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?$1.01Nov 13, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.01Nov 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?$2.20Nov 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$323.35Nov 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$325.13Nov 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.00Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$1.00Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?$1.00Jun 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.00Jun 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$1.00Jun 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?$1.00Jun 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?$1.00Jun 10, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?$1.02Jun 10, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $61.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.