Required-Designer
0x3b397b5b229220136d3b374e741152548a150afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-7.43
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
11357 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-113.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2524 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1508 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
1432 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1340 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-71.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
1007 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-53.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
899 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-89.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
856 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.99Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.65Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.98Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.25Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.46Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.15Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.47Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.90Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.05Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.44Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$41.78Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.95Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.28Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$27.74Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.57Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.21Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.38May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.00May 29, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$100.00May 29, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$99.00May 29, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $98.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.