Polished-Glow
0x3b466ccfd5c86973a0ae37ce6e55a2158dd0fd16
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$112.40
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
851 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.21
$-9.79
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$25.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will "Hantavirus" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$16.69
$-3.31
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?
1149 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 49m and 53m?
984 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?
900 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?
578 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
252 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
251 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$30.59Jun 6, 09:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hantavirus" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$20.66Jun 5, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$67.80Jun 5, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$40.49Jun 4, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$189.19Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5$30.47Jun 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$40.48Jun 2, 09:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$30.57Jun 1, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$40.76Jun 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals$30.38Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$68.18Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$30.42May 31, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$30.50May 31, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$69.77May 31, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $28.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.