Excellent-Crocus
0x3b479b5a0c659ce194200bb7c770a362dfa10a0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.57
Total PnL
$-7.06
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$12.57
$7.79
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
158 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
6 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$11.15Apr 8, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.30Apr 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$8.20Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$4.87Feb 28, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$14.69Feb 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.81Feb 26, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.10Feb 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.45Feb 19, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.