Close-Principal
0x3b4846602c8c785d18ed648b047e14cee85172f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-116.51
Realised
$-39.82
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?
440 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2025-10-10?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
150 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET
79 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-14.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET
29 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-22.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET
25 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$14.85Nov 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$1.13Nov 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$1.00Nov 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$2.27Nov 21, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$1.00Nov 21, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$1.00Nov 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$14.45Nov 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET$14.00Nov 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET$0.98Nov 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.23Nov 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.03Nov 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET$1.00Nov 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET$0.57Oct 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET$0.57Oct 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET$1.00Oct 28, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".