Crowded-Complexity
0x3b4c7c22bd4eded6b7ec620a7612cd0a7eb3ea92
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-638.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
5265 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
3299 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-127.77
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
2093 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-94.53
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
1670 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
1330 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-40.85
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
1245 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-208.78
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?
735 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
512 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$3.34Jan 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 463 Million subscribers by January 31?$11.66Jan 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$208.78Dec 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$1.53Dec 20, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$100.00Dec 20, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$3.49Dec 17, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$46.00Dec 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$46.00Dec 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$47.00Dec 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$47.00Dec 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$18.13Dec 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$3.68Dec 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$3.98Dec 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$10.47Dec 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$1.47Dec 15, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$1.47Dec 15, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$7.99Dec 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.94Dec 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$3.78Dec 15, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.