0x3b4d209cd435d3543b4d158b7354f3de47b2722a
0x3b4d209cd435d3543b4d158b7354f3de47b2722a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$118.82
Total PnL
$0.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.66Jun 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on June 16?$115.83Jun 14, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 13?$114.59Jun 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 13?$114.49Jun 12, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$114.51Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$114.30Jun 6, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 5?$119.22Jun 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 5?$119.02Jun 4, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $1,000 in May?$3.47Jun 4, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?$5.52Jun 4, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$105.75Jun 4, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$105.65May 21, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?$111.32May 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?$111.22May 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?$5.33May 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,000 in May?$3.46May 8, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$4.69May 3, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?$108.18Apr 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?$108.08Apr 26, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 25?$113.96Apr 26, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $91.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.