Improbable-Provider
0x3b564e4192c93082936aa60db68e65b3b9d0d00f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$58.45
Total PnL
$18.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$33.33
$13.33
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$14.29
$4.29
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?
11 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$10.83
$0.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before September?$10.00Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$10.00Jun 27, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Jun 27, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $13.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".