Dearest-Engineer
0x3b5c3e67c3a5d5021a5e3dce6300e5fb6ae42541
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$410.33
Total PnL
$-275.23
Realised
$-21.17
Win rate
27%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 17?
46 shares @ 98.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$44.41
$-1.12
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?
40 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$39.40
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?
35 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$34.23
$-0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 16?
31 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$31.07
$0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 16?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$29.93
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 16?
24 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$23.99
$0.16
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 17?
24 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$23.59
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$20.25
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?
20 shares @ 98.5¢·now 92.6¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$18.79
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?
17 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$17.33
$0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 17?$4.15Aug 16, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 17?$7.75Aug 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 17?$6.16Aug 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 17?$8.53Aug 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 17?$11.78Aug 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?$47.95Aug 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 17?$5.50Aug 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 17?$5.00Aug 16, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?$4.90Aug 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?$5.00Aug 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 16?$104.98Aug 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?$9.81Aug 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?$9.81Aug 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 17?$9.71Aug 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?$9.80Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 17?$9.90Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 17?$9.71Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?$5.89Aug 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?$5.88Aug 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?$5.28Aug 16, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.