0x3b5d389f5548fad01c3572b04c80eefa136dfe0c
0x3b5d389f5548fad01c3572b04c80eefa136dfe0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 20?
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
4 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.60Jan 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.60Jan 22, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$3.00Jan 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?$1.50Jan 20, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 20?$21.00Jan 20, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 18?$7.86Jan 19, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 18?$6.05Jan 18, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 16?$0.00Jan 16, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 16?$6.73Jan 16, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 16?$3.50Jan 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 16?$3.15Jan 16, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.