Capital-Hotdog
0x3b5e6176c7b96846165654377a838ebbfeecae90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- BROWNS
Browns vs. Steelers
538 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- MARINERS
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
51 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- JETS
Jets vs. Kings
47 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- ROYALS
Royals vs. Angels
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.17
- CUBS
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.56
- TIGERS
Guardians vs. Tigers
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$159.80Jun 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$309.60Jun 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$469.40Jun 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$470.11Jun 2, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$310.07Jun 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$160.04Jun 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$419.54Jun 2, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$519.43Jun 2, 16:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$520.03Jun 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$420.03Jun 1, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$189.75Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$249.67Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$499.35Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$250.06Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$190.05Jun 1, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$500.12Jun 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$449.42Jun 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$489.36Jun 1, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $285.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.