Robust-Cough
0x3b6bbb7dacdcca1b783edb28d33339a282acb46a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
3175 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.1K
$184.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?
2534 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.5K
$12.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?
395 shares @ 90.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$394.39
$36.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?
218 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$217.95
$6.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?
175 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$174.91
$3.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
920 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-720.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
744 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-223.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
310 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
300 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
220 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-59.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$44.66Jul 29, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$289.22Jul 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$1.0KJul 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$1.1KJul 29, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$1.1KJul 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$49.00Jul 29, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$85.24Jul 29, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$4.90Jul 29, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$601.17Jul 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$70.10Jul 29, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$308.00Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$4.65Jul 29, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$8.50Jul 29, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$620.10Jul 29, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$12.32Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$0.97Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$12.35Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$5.63Jul 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$9.88Jul 29, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$41.15Jul 29, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 18, 19:00 UTC → Jun 18, 18:55 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.0K@14¢Jun 18, 18:55 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$5.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $141.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.