Jagged-Crayon
0x3b7bdbad93e6212f5963e001773313570b76bd3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-792.38
Realised
$-23.30
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1148 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 39°F or below on February 17?
540 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on February 13?
434 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 13?
299 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on February 16?
263 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
260 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-141.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 16?
250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$81.22Mar 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$80.73Mar 21, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$80.34Mar 21, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$89.82Mar 20, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$90.70Mar 20, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$89.08Mar 19, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$89.11Feb 24, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$88.93Feb 24, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$89.00Feb 24, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$16.02Feb 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$39.50Feb 20, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 16?$5.56Feb 20, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 16?$10.00Feb 20, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 16?$15.95Feb 20, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 16?$24.00Feb 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$80.36Feb 17, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$26.72Feb 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$47.47Feb 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$82.56Feb 17, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on February 16?$10.00Feb 17, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $25.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".