Able-Parliament
0x3b7cfc569d135c5a1d1fb75c0c38a67fc7826ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$99.74
Total PnL
$4.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
31 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.74
$3.07
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
27 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$27.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
25 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$0.88
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
17 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.00
$0.75
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
70 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$24.13Oct 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$16.25Oct 21, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$26.95Oct 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$0.07Jul 12, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?$0.00Jul 12, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $120 on July 4?$0.00Jul 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$29.91Jul 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?$0.23Jul 5, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$28.97Jul 4, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$26.17Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $120 on July 4?$0.41Jul 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$23.90Jul 3, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$28.97Jul 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$23.90Jul 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$26.15Jul 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$29.91Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$27.67Feb 10, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$12.88Feb 10, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine join NATO in 2024?$14.78Feb 10, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine join NATO in 2024?$14.77Dec 28, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $18.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.