Costly-Seeder
0x3b820c9ec9f17ff841a0784f7a987209607eda0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
210 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.66
- YES
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
95 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
70 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
58 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-18.18
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC?
10 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$0.00Nov 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$13.82Oct 31, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Aug 11, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Aug 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$3.13Aug 11, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Aug 11, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran military response by Friday?$0.00Aug 5, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?$0.00Aug 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$1.00Aug 2, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$1.00Aug 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.00Aug 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$1.00Aug 1, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$8.00Jul 25, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$10.00Jul 25, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden drop out on July 20?$0.00Jul 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.98Jul 23, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.98Jul 23, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.95Jul 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.54Jul 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$1.60Jul 22, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".