Imperfect-Sermon
0x3b83a7eff5072ce849787f57adc956c598d0fe1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$65.20
Total PnL
$-157.98
Realised
$2.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$9.85
$2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$9.85
$2.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on April 29?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$9.72
$2.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 28?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$9.58
$2.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?
5 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$4.92
$1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 24?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$4.67
$1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 22?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$3.93
$1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 19?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$3.70
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 22?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$3.07
$0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?
3 shares @ 70.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.98
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?$1.16Apr 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?$4.20Apr 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?$7.00Apr 28, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?$1.63Apr 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?$2.13Apr 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?$8.47Apr 28, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?$8.33Apr 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on April 29?$7.00Apr 28, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?$5.93Apr 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$5.22Apr 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$6.80Apr 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$1.10Apr 28, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$1.44Apr 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?$8.47Apr 28, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?$6.99Apr 28, 01:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06Apr 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?$7.00Apr 27, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$0.04Apr 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$4.33Apr 27, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$3.86Apr 27, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".