Loving-Latter-Downforce
0x3b864ced45be35b4d6a9a9162615dcddf8f151a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$53.16
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 16?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
361 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 16?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
178 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
156 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.59Jul 2, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.41Jun 8, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$20.92Jun 8, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jun 8, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jun 8, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$6.90Jun 8, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.10Jun 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.24Jun 8, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$25.81Jun 8, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$8.39Jun 8, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$15.91Jun 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$7.27Jun 8, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$6.67Jun 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.10Jun 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$8.44May 31, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00May 31, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$10.71May 31, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.15May 31, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00May 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$10.38May 30, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.