Puzzled-Many
0x3b8707ee8c7901685e1c0c3155011c7bccafa487
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$66.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1874 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.61
- YES
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?
840 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-22.58
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
590 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-118.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?
540 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?
510 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin September 2-8?
505 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.20
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
440 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-28.05
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?
418 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-34.42
- YES
Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?
400 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?$50.18May 4, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?$41.65May 2, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5$10.79May 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.20Mar 3, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)$0.10Dec 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)$2.75Dec 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)$8.50Dec 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)$6.16Dec 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5)$36.00Dec 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?$4.80Nov 25, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?$68.40Nov 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?$18.00Nov 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$111.04Nov 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$6.96Nov 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$4.00Nov 2, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$9.42Nov 2, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$17.00Oct 30, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$0.88Oct 30, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$0.88Oct 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?$2.24Oct 30, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".