Warlike-Ban
0x3b8e8a0b32d0dce8ad76468d4294f62cf3ee0fdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
1680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
276 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-7.25
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
101 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.99
- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
17 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.86Jun 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.99Jun 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00Jun 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00Jun 3, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.00Jun 3, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.00Jun 3, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.25Jun 3, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00Jun 3, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.10Jun 2, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00Jun 2, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$0.34Jun 2, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?$0.85Jun 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 30, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.