Upset-Mist
0x3b8fbbeea3ae5177b3b2c415ad81083f1b14de9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York US Senate Election?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington US Senate Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii US Senate Election?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Dakota US Senate Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri US Senate Election?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia US Senate Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington US Senate Election?$0.15Nov 7, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Hawaii US Senate Election?$0.14Nov 7, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Dakota US Senate Election?$0.14Nov 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New York US Senate Election?$0.10Nov 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New York US Senate Election?$0.11Nov 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Missouri US Senate Election?$0.13Nov 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?$0.15Nov 6, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?$0.10Nov 6, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?$0.01Nov 6, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Virginia US Senate Election?$0.13Nov 5, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.06Nov 5, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.06Nov 5, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$206.29Oct 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$206.50Oct 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$206.78Oct 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$207.00Oct 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$207.19Oct 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?$0.14Oct 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?$0.11Oct 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election?$0.10Oct 13, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $82.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".