Frank-Mist
0x3b8fdabf734eb81e3b075fd174af936bed891b4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-99.51
Win rate
0%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21?
26577 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?
23090 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-97.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 29?
21855 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-114.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 21?
16629 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5?
12072 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?
12045 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 3?
11694 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 29?
11122 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 21?
10720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-36.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5?
10561 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?$14.14Aug 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 13?$9.44Aug 13, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?$0.00Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?$12.81Aug 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5?$14.84Aug 5, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Aug 5, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.00Aug 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.35Aug 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.00Aug 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?$7.34Aug 5, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5?$21.00Aug 5, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?$8.40Aug 2, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.34Aug 2, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)$9.42Aug 2, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$10.41Aug 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$5.25Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$0.62Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$0.46Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$0.45Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$0.49Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
57 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.