Reflecting-Marshland
0x3b99f56729510cd781ddf48c9bb596e42935504e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on November 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on March 20?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 20?
15 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 19?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 19?$2.36Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 20?$3.02Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$3.37Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 19?$5.01Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on March 20?$5.05Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$6.04Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 19?$10.10Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$21.40Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$9.04Mar 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?$3.00Mar 19, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$21.19Mar 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$6.00Mar 19, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$3.00Mar 19, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$7.00Mar 19, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 19?$2.00Mar 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 19?$5.00Mar 19, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 19?$2.00Mar 19, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 20?$3.00Mar 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on March 20?$1.00Mar 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 20?$5.00Mar 19, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".