Silent-Pacemaker
0x3ba55be9e29dbeefd0535ad6d949fed48f7dc168
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$206.39
Total PnL
$-167.21
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$199.90
$159.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?
340 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$5.10
$-15.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.87
$-20.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.20
$-19.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?
60 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.15
$-20.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?
220 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.11
$-19.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?
107 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.05
$-3.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?
22 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.01
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 13?
670 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?
630 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$0.14Aug 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$11.55Aug 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$1.75Aug 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$7.14Aug 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$0.03Aug 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?$0.40Aug 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$4.69Aug 16, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$0.45Aug 16, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$0.64Aug 16, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?$3.05Aug 16, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?$4.42Aug 16, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?$12.93Aug 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?$0.10Aug 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?$17.40Aug 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?$2.50Aug 16, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?$20.00Aug 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$9.89Aug 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$3.05Aug 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?$19.28Aug 16, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.