Truthful-Jailhouse
0x3ba810922f370ebebc1ce1e2ea28d68ea16e7c4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-173.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 3?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
270 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 4PM ET
270 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?
269 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 10?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?
263 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?
261 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 12?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 9?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$3.12Jul 11, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$115.83Jul 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$113.05Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$92.02May 31, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$89.81May 30, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$107.54May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?$2.01May 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$100.98May 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$2.34May 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?$1.29May 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$1.20May 7, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 13?$109.51Apr 18, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 13?$106.44Apr 12, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$23.45Apr 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 6?$1.21Apr 6, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 5?$77.22Apr 6, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 5?$0.16Apr 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 5?$75.75Apr 5, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of March 30 2026?$70.43Apr 5, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of March 30 2026?$69.09Apr 3, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $35.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.