Creative-Bit
0x3bb77943f238ade7a1d9102e2db72b082afcd0e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$60.16
Total PnL
$-33.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.57
$2.57
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.32
$-6.68
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.04
$7.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
41 shares @ 39.2¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.89
$-8.11
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.69
$2.69
- YES
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.55
$-2.45
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.