Creative-Bit
0x3bb77943f238ade7a1d9102e2db72b082afcd0e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$57.47
Total PnL
$-36.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.25
$-4.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
41 shares @ 39.2¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.48
$-6.52
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.69
$2.69
- YES
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.32
$-2.68
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.