Winding-Dead
0x3bce5357bb7e15ef642a7ba9eaa78f7ba5df582c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$19.33
Total PnL
$0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.62
$0.04
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.61
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.45
$0.06
- NO
Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.02
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.63Dec 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.35Dec 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.58Dec 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.39Dec 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.26Dec 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.60Dec 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.50Dec 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Dec 28, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5600 in October?$1.15Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$1.54Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.57Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$1.62Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.64Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.91Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$2.01Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2.02Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on October 31?$2.07Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$3.16Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.16Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$230.00Dec 19, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".