Watchful-Setting
0x3bcf64dda00dc241e9811cb451120d59caee9d3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$27.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
113405 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
11607 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-132.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
26 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
16 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$4.09Feb 15, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.17Feb 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00Feb 14, 19:05 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.74Feb 14, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$14.25Feb 14, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$7.21Feb 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$3.31Feb 14, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$13.87Feb 14, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.86Feb 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$3.92Jan 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $64.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".