Modern-Newsletter
0x3bd0bd44cce9c2ea3d14e64d675c6c690d351297
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?
1067 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
421 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
341 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
104 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 28m?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.20Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?$1.97Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1.60Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?$0.13Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.21Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$0.35Dec 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$0.52Dec 23, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?$0.56Dec 23, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$0.50Dec 23, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$0.70Dec 23, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".