Fluffy-Covariate
0x3bd8f9ac5cbe3ef58d559440b8cebbb28062cd6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
24219 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-298.69
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
12127 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.7K
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-699.99
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
9943 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
9168 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
6136 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-474.67
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
5170 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-201.75
- YES
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
5000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-125.76
- NO
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
3230 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-444.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1000.00Apr 24, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.8KApr 24, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$2.8KApr 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$85.72Apr 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.06Apr 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.06Apr 21, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Apr 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$17.27Apr 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$64.00Apr 21, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$763.84Apr 21, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$700.00Apr 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$50.00Apr 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.0KApr 21, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 21, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$16.17Apr 21, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$461.04Apr 21, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.82Apr 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$66.36Apr 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.18Apr 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$22.26Apr 21, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $187.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.