0x3bda453deb074562738a18632b66e7fead4a218f
0x3bda453deb074562738a18632b66e7fead4a218f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.68
Realised
$1.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET
918 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 26?
267 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
179 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.69
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 26?
106 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 26?
91 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
- YES
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
65 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?
41 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- ELVINA KALIEVA
Madrid: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva
23 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
18 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
18 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?$16.18May 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?$8.16May 21, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on May 20?$9.04May 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?$2.85May 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?$7.87May 21, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 20?$9.17May 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$2.70May 20, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on May 20?$7.45May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 20?$6.97May 19, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$4.53May 18, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$2.02May 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 16?$1.91May 16, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$5.01May 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 16?$1.66May 16, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?$7.38May 15, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$4.09May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$4.14May 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?$5.06May 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$3.95May 14, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$4.95May 13, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.