Ill-Jumbo
0x3bdfe2daa8e31fdd1d26e38c55ffc5708a16b15a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
218 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Sovereignty" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
122 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
112 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-41.29
- YES
Will Trump's UN speech be between 30 and 35 minutes?
100 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.74
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
92 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
84 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?
61 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$71.94Sep 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$20.00Sep 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's UN speech be between 30 and 35 minutes?$11.74Sep 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$20.00Sep 23, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sovereignty" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$20.00Sep 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$35.00Sep 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$50.00Sep 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$20.00Sep 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$20.00Sep 23, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$0.00Sep 18, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$180.00Sep 18, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" 3+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$5.20Sep 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" 3+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$15.80Sep 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?$50.77Sep 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$22.18Sep 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$5.00Sep 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$0.61Sep 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Toast" 2+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$1.75Sep 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$15.00Sep 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?$20.13Sep 17, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $17.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 23, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".