Selfish-Artery-Insurgence
0x3be703c6cfc655e390a96e93e88fd3fd9fe7ad70
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-171.49
Win rate
0%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?
10474 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-282.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?
5465 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?
5319 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5047 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?
4578 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?
3839 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-59.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?
3576 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-71.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?
3206 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 18?
3101 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 16?
2332 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-128.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees AND Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$9.51Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners AND Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves$11.20Jul 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$0.43Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$4.77Jul 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$3.77Jul 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$18.52Jul 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$2.88Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$2.87Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$21.24Jul 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$21.32Jul 17, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$18.97Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$34.53Jul 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$0.59Jul 17, 04:59 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$1.36Jul 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$3.69Jul 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$4.28Jul 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$2.16Jul 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$2.15Jul 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$2.56Jul 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?$0.55Jul 17, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
196 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.