Gregarious-Cereal
0x3bef86649e6a530011cadcd72038056a44513304
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
170
Open notional
$56.11
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?
64 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$56.11
$0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 4?
1049 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on April 7?
1013 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9?
631 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 19?
594 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 5?
523 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 4?
480 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 7?
468 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?
385 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 5?
340 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$1.02Jun 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$30.38Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$13.98Jun 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$0.98Jun 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$9.11Jun 5, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?$199.72Jun 5, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?$78.61Jun 4, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?$101.89Jun 4, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?$200.00Jun 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?$175.13Jun 3, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?$126.74May 26, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?$107.20May 25, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$5.00May 21, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$1.70May 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$1.00May 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$2.30May 21, 00:04 UTC
- SPLITCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$5.00May 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$2.50May 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$2.38May 20, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$0.12May 20, 23:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $20.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".