New-Crane
0x3bfcf5300485d5b0219626e6dce325f222018735
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-504.81
Realised
$46.87
Win rate
95%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
683 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
493 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
431 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
220 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
177 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
161 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
136 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
113 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
101 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.02Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.10Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.40Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.18Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.33Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.06Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$3.39Apr 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$3.18Apr 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$7.24Apr 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.30Apr 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.99Apr 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.91Apr 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.52Apr 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.38Apr 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.13Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.07Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.30Apr 30, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$12.76Apr 30, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.03Apr 30, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.77Apr 30, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.