Plaintive-Mayor
0x3bfd3e0435e1fceff63c5c43f5ca1ba51ad51610
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$3.19
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
219 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-128.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
107 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
95 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
87 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
84 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
57 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
48 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
47 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.79Jul 22, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.37Jul 22, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.02Jul 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.04Jul 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.02Jul 21, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$21.12Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.01Jul 21, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.06Jul 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.32Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.49Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.07Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.03Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.00Jul 21, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.64Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.07Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.04Jul 21, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$6.32Jul 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.07Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.