Fearless-Accelerator
0x3bff491e8d972ae2ba8355a05edc2111d2f52bf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-462.95
Realised
$-2.23
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
3333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
251 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
238 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
175 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
174 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.13Jul 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.59Jul 30, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$117.12Jul 30, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.69Jul 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.28Jul 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.53Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.32Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.19Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.34Jul 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.77Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$3.20Jul 30, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.33Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.32Jul 30, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$3.21Jul 30, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$44.78Jul 30, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.07Jul 30, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.