Excellent-Pigeon
0x3c040e234e7008336f9209a66a14ba3544549715
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$100.62
Total PnL
$-125.91
Realised
$-30.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
387 shares @ 9.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.62
$65.79
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 15?
333 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.30
- YES
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer
255 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-66.22
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
171 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.15
- YES
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer
70 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-27.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.80Jun 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$33.03Jun 14, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$149.25Jun 1, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?$44.59May 29, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$11.70May 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$1.10May 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$22.13May 29, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$40.53May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$34.15May 28, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$34.89May 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?$31.23May 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?$3.55May 28, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$60.08May 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$5.00May 25, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$2.12May 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$33.60May 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$68.03May 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?$35.49May 24, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$29.64May 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$33.94May 23, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.