Bite-Sized-Country
0x3c0c526509026910ba6d7d4219bf4383f1f24597
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.73
Total PnL
$-12.62
Realised
$0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
32 shares @ 15.9¢·now 11.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.82
$-1.26
- YES
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$3.23
$0.87
- YES
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?
382 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$2.67
$-1.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 22?
12 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 23?$6.37Jul 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 23?$57.07Jul 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on July 23?$104.02Jul 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on July 23?$1.01Jul 23, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 23?$7.02Jul 23, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 23?$29.09Jul 23, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 23?$6.21Jul 23, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 23?$2.04Jul 23, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 23?$84.18Jul 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 23?$37.22Jul 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 23?$5.93Jul 23, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 23?$1.00Jul 23, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 23?$9.81Jul 23, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 23?$2.00Jul 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 23?$10.00Jul 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 23?$2.00Jul 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on July 24?$9.58Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 23?$9.90Jul 23, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on July 24?$9.89Jul 23, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.