Rude-Weather
0x3c125b06575d4ec62c64c782676521b0405662f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$296.83
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- REPUBLICAN
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
3225 shares @ 53.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$3.2K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$200.00
$100.00
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
15184 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-7.0K
- NO
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
1392 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-580.13
- YES
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
366 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-133.10
Recent activity
- MERGE[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 14, 21:14 UTC
- SPLIT[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 14, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Super Bowl LVII go into overtime?$44.44Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF be federally indicted by EOY?$0.00Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miles Sanders have the most rushing yards of any player in Super Bowl LVII?$3.85Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWhich team will win the second quarter of Super Bowl LVII?$2.83Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMRed Parlay$37.50Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the sum of the jersey numbers of every touchdown-scoring player in Super Bowl LVII be greater than 170?$0.00Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWhich team will win the first quarter of Super Bowl LVII?$1.42Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the first drive in Super Bowl LVII result in a score?$0.00Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill any field goal in Super Bowl LVII be scored from 50 or more yards?$25.37Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia$500.00Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Super Bowl LVII's final score be "The Script Score"?$0.10Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWhich team will win the third quarter of Super Bowl LVII?$0.00Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?$199.87Feb 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023?$0.00Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of Mahomes' and Hurts' combined touchdown passes in Super Bowl LVII be even or odd?$1.96Feb 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2022 World Cup?$3.8KFeb 23, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $220.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".