Shiny-Niche
0x3c160b8526e8f5e596fd8a7c89ebb0484389d262
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$55.01
Total PnL
$-919.17
Realised
$-14.77
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?
55 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$55.01
$5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?
10817 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-85.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C or higher on July 11?
495 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 11?
362 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 11?
229 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?
176 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 11?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 10?
144 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 11?
141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?
140 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?$68.96Jul 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?$50.23Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13?$1.01Jul 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?$50.69Jul 13, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?$1.12Jul 12, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?$52.63Jul 12, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?$64.94Jul 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?$50.12Jul 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?$1.01Jul 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?$50.57Jul 12, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$3.28Jul 11, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?$1.18Jul 11, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 11?$3.17Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?$3.85Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?$3.21Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?$3.34Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 11?$91.74Jul 11, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?$4.55Jul 11, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 11?$2.35Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?$2.61Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.