Flickering-Dolor
0x3c17b1a5bb021a7e4a8e72f69662e2781df9abd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$112.77
Total PnL
$-293.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
412 shares @ 10.9¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.78
$15.78
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$20.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
163 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Knicks
119 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Damián Bobadilla: 1+ assists
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
78 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDamián Bobadilla: 1+ assists$10.27Jun 12, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 12, 12:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.26Jun 11, 19:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$20.44Jun 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.27Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini$28.43Jun 8, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.63Jun 8, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $16.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.